The Memo - 10/Jun/2022
AGI countdown, ABC interview about GPT-3, Varjo Aero/Galea, and much more!
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: Jun/2022
Welcome back to The Memo,
The release cadence of these emails has been a bit more frequent than monthly, due to the amazing models released in April, May, and June 2022.
The BIG Stuff
The AGI countdown
You get the first look at my new conservative countdown to AGI! From my current frame of reference and vantage point, I believe that we are more than a third of the way towards artificial general intelligence, with the latest discoveries from DeepMind (especially Gato), OpenAI, and Microsoft.
First look: my conservative countdown to AGI is at 39% progress in Jun/2022.
Elon Musk tweet predicting AGI at 100% by 2029 (Jun/2022).
Dr Ray Kurzweil interview predicting AGI at 100% before 2029 (Apr/2022).
A Google Researcher has written about AI consciousness in The Economist today (Jun/2022).
Additionally, Dr Nick Bostrom released an update to his very long paper, Propositions Concerning Digital Minds and Society (PDF), with references to GPT-3. Some of my highlights her…